Labour reaches 30 per cent in Opinium poll after Burnham speech
Labour’s support rose to 30 per cent in an Opinium poll after Andy Burnham’s conference speech, its highest rating from the firm since 2024. The result has fuelled speculation about an early election, though Burnham has called the idea “dead” and the article says constituency-level volatility makes seat projections uncertain.
Reform gained one point to 25 per cent, while the Conservatives stood at 17 per cent; Electoral Calculus projected 342 Labour seats, 155 for Reform and 55 for the Tories on those figures. Burnham’s personal net rating increased by one point to plus eight, compared with Kemi Badenoch on minus one and Nigel Farage on minus 22. Opinium also found support for a national social care service and for exploring options on the UK’s relationship with the EU, though details on timing and funding were not set out.
- Labour reached 30 per cent in Opinium’s poll.
- Reform polled at 25 per cent; the Conservatives at 17 per cent.
- Burnham denied plans for a snap election.
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Opinion polls measure public support for political parties by asking samples of voters about their preferences. These surveys are watched closely because they can indicate how voters might behave at an election and often generate discussion about the government's prospects. In Britain, such polling can fuel speculation about whether an election will be called sooner than expected.
The poll compares support for three main British political parties: Labour, the Conservatives, and Reform. Labour currently governs the country and is led by Keir Starmer, though Andy Burnham, a senior Labour figure, featured in recent coverage following his conference speech. The opposition are the Conservatives, led by Kemi Badenoch, and Reform, led by Nigel Farage.
Polls attempt to project how many parliamentary seats each party would win under current voting patterns, though such forecasts are unreliable because voter preferences vary significantly across different constituencies. The wider context is that issues such as social care reform and the UK's future relationship with Europe have emerged as matters that concern voters.
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Originally published by Daily Mail as “Labour hits highest poll rating since 2024 after Burnham’s conference speech… as snap election fever rages”.