Disney's live-action adaptation of Moana is projected to open with approximately $130 million globally, with domestic markets expected to contribute $60 million or more. Directed by Thomas Kail and starring Dwayne Johnson reprising his voice role as Maui alongside Catherine Laga'aia in the lead, the film is releasing across 3,900 theaters with premium format support including IMAX and 4DX, targeting family and female audiences with an anticipated $70-75 million from international markets.

The live-action version arrives less than two years after the animated sequel Moana 2 grossed over $1 billion worldwide, prompting industry questions about market oversaturation. However, the original 2016 Moana remains among Disney+'s most-watched films since the service's launch, and the broader domestic box office is running 13 percent ahead of 2025 year-to-date, suggesting sustained audience appetite for major releases despite recent underperformance in superhero and animated family franchises.