# 2026 ‘most likely’ to be second-hottest year on record says EU monitor

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/2026-most-likely-to-be-second-hottest-year-on-record-says-eu-monitor/
- Published: 2026-11-06T10:44:32+00:00
- Updated: 2026-11-06T15:07:07+00:00
- Original publisher: Le Monde (publisher lean: Left)
- Original article: https://www.lemonde.fr/en/environment/article/2026/11/06/2026-most-likely-to-be-second-hottest-year-on-record-says-eu-monitor_6773395_114.html
- Topics: Climate, Europe, Science, World

## Key points

- 2026 is most likely to be the second-warmest year recorded.
- Copernicus puts the chance of exceeding 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels above 99%.
- October was the warmest October on record globally.

## Summary

The EU’s Copernicus Climate Change Service says 2026 is most likely to be the second-warmest year in records, behind 2024. Its forecast also puts the year virtually certain to average more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, adding to evidence of sustained global warming.

Using data through October, Copernicus estimates an 80% chance that 2026 ranks second and a 20% chance it ties or surpasses 2024. October was the warmest on record for that month, at 1.75°C above the pre-industrial average; intensifying El Niño conditions are adding heat to a climate already warmed by human activity. The four-year average for 2023–2026 is also expected to exceed 1.5°C.

---
Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.