# Bombshell new memo reveals supercharged El Niño set to smash California: ‘Not normal’

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/bombshell-new-memo-reveals-supercharged-el-nino-set-to-smash-california-not-normal/
- Published: 2026-11-12T22:25:39+00:00
- Updated: 2026-11-12T23:35:32+00:00
- Original publisher: New York Post (publisher lean: Right)
- Original article: https://nypost.com/2026/11/12/us-news/historic-el-nino-threatens-california-with-severe-impacts/
- Topics: World

## Key points

- NOAA sees a 60% chance of a record-strength El Niño.
- Strong conditions may persist into early 2027.
- California could face heavier rain, but impacts remain uncertain.

## Summary

NOAA says an unusually intense El Niño is strengthening in the Pacific and could bring significant weather effects to California later this year and into 2027. The forecast matters because strong El Niño events can raise the risk of storms and heavy rain in Southern California, though NOAA cautions that extreme impacts are not certain everywhere.

There is a 60% chance it will become the strongest El Niño recorded since 1950, and NOAA puts the chance of strong to very strong conditions lasting from January to March 2027 above 79%. Temperatures in parts of the eastern equatorial Pacific are more than 4°C above normal, with unusually warm water spreading west; forecasters expect the pattern to weaken gradually in early 2027. The article also cites 21 named Eastern Pacific systems and 32 Western Pacific typhoons this year, and a study estimating 451,000 additional heat-related deaths worldwide compared with a typical year.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.