# Can Tehran survive a ‘zero oil’ budget, if US blockade on Iran persists?

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/can-tehran-survive-a-zero-oil-budget-if-us-blockade-on-iran-persists/
- Published: 2026-11-11T15:40:17+00:00
- Updated: 2026-11-11T21:51:28+00:00
- Original publisher: Al Jazeera (publisher lean: Left)
- Original article: https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/11/11/can-tehran-survive-a-zero-oil-budget-if-us-blockade-on-iran-persists?traffic_source=rss
- Topics: Americas, Government, Middle East, Politics, World

## Key points

- Tehran is preparing for a budget with zero oil revenue.
- Iran’s oil production has fallen below two million barrels a day.
- Kpler expects receipts could dry up around mid-December.

## Summary

The US is maintaining economic pressure on Iran through a naval blockade, sanctions and reported efforts to disrupt overland trade, with no clear end in sight. Tehran is preparing for a possible budget with almost no oil income, which could make it harder to pay public salaries and pensions, supply essential goods and contain inflation.

The blockade resumed on 14 July after a June deal collapsed. The US says it has redirected 147 ships and disabled five; Iran has loaded no oil onto vessels since 25 August, according to the US Treasury. Kpler estimated production had fallen below two million barrels a day, from 3.45 million in January, and said oil receipts could dry up around mid-December; about 43 million barrels remain stranded inside the blockade zone.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.