France backed to edge Morocco as Sutton predicts open England win
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Norway squad
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1 Orjan NYLAND
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2 Morten Thorsby
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3 Kristoffer AJER
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4 Leo OSTIGARD
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5 David MOLLER WOLFE
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6 Patrick BERG
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7 Alexander SORLOTH
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8 Sander BERGE
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9 Erling HAALAND
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10 Martin ODEGAARD
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11 Jorgen STRAND LARSEN
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12 Sander TANGVIK
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13 Egil SELVIK
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14 Fredrik AURSNES
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15 Fredrik Andre BJORKAN
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16 Marcus HOLMGREN PEDERSEN
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17 Torbjorn HEGGEM
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23 Jens Petter HAUGE
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24 Sondre LANGAS
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25 Henrik FALCHENER
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26 Julian RYERSON
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England squad
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1 Jordan PICKFORD
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2 Ezri KONSA
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3 Nico OREILLY
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4 Declan RICE
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5 John STONES
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6 Marc GUEHI
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7 Bukayo SAKA
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8 Elliot ANDERSON
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9 Harry KANE
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10 Jude BELLINGHAM
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11 Marcus RASHFORD
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12 Trevoh CHALOBAH
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13 Dean Henderson
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14 Jordan HENDERSON
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15 Dan BURN
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16 Kobbie MAINOO
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17 Morgan ROGERS
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18 Anthony GORDON
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19 Ollie WATKINS
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20 Noni MADUEKE
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21 Eberechi EZE
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22 Ivan TONEY
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23 James TRAFFORD
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24 Reece JAMES
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25 Djed SPENCE
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26 Jarell QUANSAH
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BBC Sport pundit Chris Sutton has given his score predictions for the 2026 World Cup quarter-finals, backing tournament favourites France to see off Morocco and expecting Spain to overcome Belgium. His forecasts are set against those generated by AI (Microsoft Copilot Chat) and the choices of BBC predictor game users, in a running contest that highlights how the knockout stage has produced repeated surprises. The picks matter as a guide to how the last eight might unfold, with four teams due to exit and semi-final places at stake.
In the last-16 round, Sutton got seven of eight ties right, missing only Switzerland's shootout win over Colombia, while AI wrongly tipped Brazil and the USA to progress; predictor users also managed 6/8. Overall, with 96 of 104 matches played, Sutton and AI are level on 61 correct (64%) and readers lead on 68 (71%). For France v Morocco in Boston (Thursday 9 July, 21:00 BST), both Sutton and AI predict 2-1, with Sutton citing Morocco's inconsistency and the injury to forward Ismael Saibari; for Spain v Belgium in Los Angeles (Friday 10 July), he expects Spain's attack to improve, noting Spain are yet to concede and that Belgium have lost midfielder Amadou Onana to injury.
- Sutton backs favourites France to beat Morocco 2-1.
- He also tips Spain to overcome Belgium.
- Predictor users lead the tipping contest on 71%.
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Chris Sutton is a former footballer and pundit who writes regular predictions for BBC Sport during major tournaments, including the current World Cup. As part of this, his score forecasts for each round are compared with those produced by an artificial intelligence tool and with the choices made by members of the public using a BBC predictor game, creating an informal contest to see whose picks prove most accurate.
The story concerns the quarter-final stage of the competition, where eight teams have been reduced to the last four remaining ties. Among the sides involved are France, Morocco, Spain and Belgium, all of whom have progressed through the tournament's earlier knockout rounds, some via matches that did not go as widely expected.
This tracking of predictions has become a talking point because the knockout stage has thrown up several surprise results, meaning no forecaster, human or AI, has managed a perfect record. The comparison is used as a light-hearted but structured way of assessing how well pundits, AI and everyday fans can read the form and likely outcomes of the remaining matches.
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Originally published by BBC Sport as “Chris Sutton’s World Cup quarter-final predictions”.