France backed to edge Morocco as Sutton predicts open England win

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France backed to edge Morocco as Sutton predicts open England win

Developed over time first seen 1 month ago

BBC Sport · 1 month ago

Norway
Norway
1
FIFA WC26
1-2
Finished
England
England
2

Squads
Norway squad
  • Full squad
  • 1 Orjan NYLAND
    Goalkeeper
  • 2 Morten Thorsby
    Midfielder
  • 3 Kristoffer AJER
    Defender
  • 4 Leo OSTIGARD
    Defender
  • 5 David MOLLER WOLFE
    Defender
  • 6 Patrick BERG
    Midfielder
  • 7 Alexander SORLOTH
    Forward
  • 8 Sander BERGE
    Midfielder
  • 9 Erling HAALAND
    Forward
  • 10 Martin ODEGAARD
    Midfielder
  • 11 Jorgen STRAND LARSEN
    Forward
  • 12 Sander TANGVIK
    Goalkeeper
  • 13 Egil SELVIK
    Goalkeeper
  • 14 Fredrik AURSNES
    Midfielder
  • 15 Fredrik Andre BJORKAN
    Defender
  • 16 Marcus HOLMGREN PEDERSEN
    Defender
  • 17 Torbjorn HEGGEM
    Defender
  • 18 Kristian Thorstvedt
    Midfielder
  • 19 Thelo AASGAARD
    Midfielder
  • 20 Antonio NUSA
    Forward
  • 21 Andreas SCHJELDERUP
    Midfielder
  • 22 Oscar BOBB
    Midfielder
  • 23 Jens Petter HAUGE
    Midfielder
  • 24 Sondre LANGAS
    Defender
  • 25 Henrik FALCHENER
    Defender
  • 26 Julian RYERSON
    Forward
England squad
  • Full squad
  • 1 Jordan PICKFORD
    Goalkeeper
  • 2 Ezri KONSA
    Defender
  • 3 Nico OREILLY
    Defender
  • 4 Declan RICE
    Midfielder
  • 5 John STONES
    Defender
  • 6 Marc GUEHI
    Defender
  • 7 Bukayo SAKA
    Forward
  • 8 Elliot ANDERSON
    Midfielder
  • 9 Harry KANE
    Forward
  • 10 Jude BELLINGHAM
    Midfielder
  • 11 Marcus RASHFORD
    Forward
  • 12 Trevoh CHALOBAH
    Defender
  • 13 Dean Henderson
    Goalkeeper
  • 14 Jordan HENDERSON
    Midfielder
  • 15 Dan BURN
    Defender
  • 16 Kobbie MAINOO
    Midfielder
  • 17 Morgan ROGERS
    Midfielder
  • 18 Anthony GORDON
    Forward
  • 19 Ollie WATKINS
    Forward
  • 20 Noni MADUEKE
    Forward
  • 21 Eberechi EZE
    Midfielder
  • 22 Ivan TONEY
    Forward
  • 23 James TRAFFORD
    Goalkeeper
  • 24 Reece JAMES
    Defender
  • 25 Djed SPENCE
    Defender
  • 26 Jarell QUANSAH
    Defender

BBC Sport pundit Chris Sutton has given his score predictions for the 2026 World Cup quarter-finals, backing tournament favourites France to see off Morocco and expecting Spain to overcome Belgium. His forecasts are set against those generated by AI (Microsoft Copilot Chat) and the choices of BBC predictor game users, in a running contest that highlights how the knockout stage has produced repeated surprises. The picks matter as a guide to how the last eight might unfold, with four teams due to exit and semi-final places at stake.

In the last-16 round, Sutton got seven of eight ties right, missing only Switzerland's shootout win over Colombia, while AI wrongly tipped Brazil and the USA to progress; predictor users also managed 6/8. Overall, with 96 of 104 matches played, Sutton and AI are level on 61 correct (64%) and readers lead on 68 (71%). For France v Morocco in Boston (Thursday 9 July, 21:00 BST), both Sutton and AI predict 2-1, with Sutton citing Morocco's inconsistency and the injury to forward Ismael Saibari; for Spain v Belgium in Los Angeles (Friday 10 July), he expects Spain's attack to improve, noting Spain are yet to concede and that Belgium have lost midfielder Amadou Onana to injury.

  • Sutton backs favourites France to beat Morocco 2-1.
  • He also tips Spain to overcome Belgium.
  • Predictor users lead the tipping contest on 71%.

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Chris Sutton is a former footballer and pundit who writes regular predictions for BBC Sport during major tournaments, including the current World Cup. As part of this, his score forecasts for each round are compared with those produced by an artificial intelligence tool and with the choices made by members of the public using a BBC predictor game, creating an informal contest to see whose picks prove most accurate.

The story concerns the quarter-final stage of the competition, where eight teams have been reduced to the last four remaining ties. Among the sides involved are France, Morocco, Spain and Belgium, all of whom have progressed through the tournament's earlier knockout rounds, some via matches that did not go as widely expected.

This tracking of predictions has become a talking point because the knockout stage has thrown up several surprise results, meaning no forecaster, human or AI, has managed a perfect record. The comparison is used as a light-hearted but structured way of assessing how well pundits, AI and everyday fans can read the form and likely outcomes of the remaining matches.

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Originally published by BBC Sport as “Chris Sutton’s World Cup quarter-final predictions”.