# Democrats favoured to win 238 House seats, analysis suggests

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/cnn-data-guru-claims-midterm-elections-in-blowout-territory-as-democrats-gain-in-polls/
- Published: 2026-10-26T01:26:15+00:00
- Updated: 2026-10-26T01:32:15+00:00
- Original publisher: Daily Mail (publisher lean: Right)
- Original article: https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16238127/CNN-data-guru-midterm-Democrats.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490
- Topics: Elections, Politics, World

## Key points

- Enten puts Democrats in a strong position for the House.
- Democrats have a 69% chance of winning at least 230 seats.
- He notes past polls often underestimated Republican support.

## Summary

CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten said polling and statistical models put Democrats in a strong position to make major gains in the US midterm elections. He described the House race as entering “blowout territory”; a Democratic win could shift control of Congress and give the party greater power to challenge President Donald Trump’s agenda and oversee his administration.

Enten’s analysis put the chance of either party winning at least 230 House seats at 71%, with Democrats accounting for a 69% chance and Republicans just 2%. He projected Democrats could win 238 seats, up from an August estimate of 232. He also said mid-October congressional polls have underestimated Republican support in 15 of 16 elections since 1994, and began outlining a 57% Democratic chance in the Senate before the article text cuts off.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.