# Kalshi gives Democrats record chances of winning both houses of Congress

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/democrat-odds-of-blue-tsunami-soar-to-a-record-high-in-latest-prediction-as-trump-makes-last-minute-scramble-live-updates/
- Published: 2026-11-02T13:58:34+00:00
- Updated: 2026-11-02T14:18:58+00:00
- Original publisher: Daily Mail (publisher lean: Right)
- Original article: https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16258815/us-midterms-2026-vote-election-polls-trump.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490
- Topics: Elections, Government, Politics, Software, Technology, World

## Key points

- Kalshi puts Democrats’ Senate chances at 74 per cent.
- Democrats have a 94 per cent chance of taking the House.
- Trump made a final push to protect Republican majorities.

## Summary

Prediction market Kalshi put Democrats’ chances of winning control of both chambers of Congress at record highs, one day before the US midterm elections. The figures suggest a possible shift in power, while President Donald Trump made a final appeal to voters to preserve Republican majorities.

As of Monday morning, Kalshi gave Democrats a 74 per cent chance of winning the Senate and a 94 per cent chance of taking the House. Republicans currently hold 53 Senate seats to Democrats’ 47, with control expected to depend on several close races. The article also points to voter frustration over the economy and cost of living, and cites a poll showing Democrat Abdul El Sayed leading Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan by 53 to 42 per cent.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.