# Pollster says snap election could cost Burnham’s party MPs amid Budget anger

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/early-election-would-be-a-hell-of-a-risk-pollster-warns-as-survey-shows-anger-over-welfare-bill-failure/
- Published: 2026-11-02T17:48:22+00:00
- Updated: 2026-11-02T18:17:38+00:00
- Original publisher: Daily Mail (publisher lean: Right)
- Original article: https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16259583/Early-election-hell-risk-pollster-warns-survey-shows-anger-welfare-bill-failure.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490
- Topics: Elections, Government, Politics, World

## Key points

- Pollster says an early election could cost Burnham significant numbers of MPs.
- 49 per cent say the Budget falls short on welfare spending.
- Burnham has ruled out an election within the next 12 months.

## Summary

Pollster Luke Tryl warned that an early general election would be “a hell of a risk” for Prime Minister Andy Burnham, with the data suggesting his party could lose a significant number of MPs. The warning came as a survey found many voters believe the latest Budget falls short of Burnham’s promises on welfare, living costs, defence and other issues.

Only 19 per cent said the Budget lived up to promises to reduce welfare spending, while 49 per cent said it did not. Just 13 per cent thought it would end 40 years of neoliberalism, and 24 per cent expected it to improve defence and security; on the cost of living, 51 per cent said it fell short and 27 per cent said it met the promise. Burnham has ruled out an election in the next 12 months, while Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch said she believed the Budget was prepared with an earlier election in mind.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.