# Gavin Newsom sees dramatic shift in presidential odds after midterm election

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/gavin-newsom-sees-dramatic-shift-in-presidential-odds-after-midterm-election/
- Published: 2026-11-08T01:59:01+00:00
- Updated: 2026-11-08T04:07:44+00:00
- Original publisher: New York Post (publisher lean: Right)
- Original article: https://nypost.com/2026/11/07/us-news/gavin-newsoms-2028-presidential-odds-plunge-to-all-time-low-after-midterms/
- Topics: Elections, Politics, World

## Key points

- Newsom’s 2028 nomination odds hit a market low of 7%.
- Jon Ossoff led the latest snapshot at 27%.
- Prediction market odds are not scientific polling.

## Summary

Gavin Newsom’s prospects of winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination fell to an all-time low on prediction markets after the midterm elections. The shift suggests traders are turning towards other possible contenders, though market odds reflect betting activity rather than a reliable forecast of the outcome.

Newsom’s chances briefly dropped to 7% and stood at 11% in the latest snapshot, against more than $28.3 million in trading on his prospects. Senator Jon Ossoff led at 27%, followed by Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 17%; Kamala Harris was at 6%, while Pete Buttigieg and Josh Shapiro each had 5%. The wider 2028 presidential market had attracted over $1.3 billion in trading, despite the election being two years away.

---
Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.