# Hamilton holds slight lead over Marshall in Kansas Senate contest: Poll

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/hamilton-holds-slight-lead-over-marshall-in-kansas-senate-contest-poll/
- Published: 2026-10-30T13:00:00+00:00
- Updated: 2026-11-04T00:28:26+00:00
- Original publisher: The Hill (publisher lean: Right)
- Original article: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/6181812-hamilton-marshall-kansas-senate-poll/
- Topics: Americas, Elections, Government, Politics, Space, Technology, World

## Key points

- Hamilton led Marshall by 3.5 points in an Emerson poll of 800 likely voters.
- The lead matched the poll’s 3.5-point credibility interval.
- Other polling showed a close race, with uncertainty about who would vote.

## Summary

Democrat Adam Hamilton held a narrow lead over Republican incumbent Roger Marshall in an Emerson College Polling survey of Kansas’s US Senate race, conducted from 26 to 28 October. Of 800 likely voters, 48.7% supported Hamilton and 45.2% supported Marshall; Libertarian David Graham drew 2.9%. The 3.5-point gap was the same size as the poll’s credibility interval, so the survey did not establish a clear leader. Among respondents who had already voted, Hamilton led, while Marshall led among those yet to cast a ballot.

The contest is unusually close for a state that has not elected a Democratic US senator since the 1930s. Emerson found that 51% of likely voters disapproved of President Donald Trump’s job performance, while 45% approved, and that the economy was voters’ leading concern. Other late-October polls also showed a competitive race, although a Washington Post–Schar School survey showing a larger Hamilton lead warned that Republicans had been much less willing than Democrats to respond. The figures describe voter intentions when each survey was taken, not the election result.

## Coverage

- [The Hill: Hamilton holds slight lead over Marshall in Kansas Senate contest: Poll](https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/6181812-hamilton-marshall-kansas-senate-poll/)
- [Emerson College Polling: October 2026 Kansas Poll: Hamilton Maintains Edge over Marshall in Toss-up Election](https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2026-kansas-poll-hamilton-maintains-edge-over-marshall/)

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.