# Iran war oil shock drives dip in global emissions, study shows

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/iran-war-oil-shock-drives-dip-in-global-emissions-study-shows/
- Published: 2026-11-10T03:58:00+00:00
- Updated: 2026-11-10T04:21:17+00:00
- Original publisher: DW (publisher lean: Centre)
- Original article: https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-oil-shock-drives-dip-in-global-emissions-study-shows/a-79905937?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- Topics: Americas, Climate, Middle East, Research, Science, World

## Key points

- Fossil fuel emissions are forecast to fall 0.4% in 2026.
- High prices and supply disruption are driving the decline.
- Total CO₂ emissions are still expected to rise by about 1%.

## Summary

Global emissions from fossil fuels are expected to fall slightly in 2026, mainly because high energy prices and disruption to oil supplies linked to the US war on Iran have reduced demand. Researchers say the dip is not evidence of lasting climate progress, as emissions could rise again when energy markets and economies recover.

The Global Carbon Project estimates oil emissions will drop by 1.9% and gas by 0.3%, while coal emissions rise by 0.6%; fossil fuel emissions overall are forecast to fall by 0.4%, after averaging annual growth of 0.9% over the past decade. Despite that decline, total global carbon dioxide emissions are expected to increase by about 1%, as emissions from land use changes, including deforestation and peat fires, rise. Researchers say sustained cuts depend on faster deployment of clean energy.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.