# Democrats lead midterm poll by eight points, but confidence lags

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/new-poll-shows-warning-sign-for-democrats-as-nervousness-spreads-with-seven-days-to-the-midterm-elections/
- Published: 2026-10-27T13:11:33+00:00
- Updated: 2026-10-27T13:26:59+00:00
- Original publisher: Daily Mail (publisher lean: Right)
- Original article: https://www.dailymail.com/news/us-politics/article-16242321/New-poll-shows-warning-sign-Democrats-nervousness-spreads-seven-days-midterm-elections.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490
- Topics: Elections, Government, Politics, World

## Key points

- Democrats lead by eight points on the congressional ballot.
- Democratic voters are less confident their candidates will win.
- Lower enthusiasm among some groups and district maps may limit gains.

## Summary

A poll conducted seven days before the US midterm elections showed Democrats leading Republicans by eight points among likely voters on the congressional ballot. But it also highlighted a confidence gap among Democrats and weaker enthusiasm among some groups in their coalition, raising doubts about whether their lead will translate into gains in Congress.

In the NPR/PBS News/Marist survey, 98 per cent of Democratic likely voters said they would back their party’s candidate, while 81 per cent expected that candidate to win; the gap among Republicans was 10 points. Trump’s approval was 40 per cent, with 59 per cent disapproving, while 44 per cent said their vote was against him and 21 per cent in support. Overall, 71 per cent of Democratic likely voters said they were very enthusiastic about voting, compared with 61 per cent of Republicans, though enthusiasm was lower among voters under 45 and some other groups, and recent district map changes could limit Democratic seat gains.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.