# Pollsters missed the mark again — but this time, it wasn’t Republicans they underestimated

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/pollsters-missed-the-mark-again-but-this-time-it-wasnt-republicans-they-underestimated/
- Published: 2026-11-04T17:26:44+00:00
- Updated: 2026-11-05T06:40:23+00:00
- Original publisher: Fox News (publisher lean: Right)
- Original article: https://www.foxnews.com/politics/pollsters-missed-mark-again-but-this-time-wasnt-republicans-they-underestimated
- Topics: Elections, Politics, World

## Key points

- Pollsters say they underestimated Democratic support in the midterms.
- Democrats won back majorities in the House and Senate.
- Analysts say polling misses should no longer be seen as one-sided.

## Summary

Pollsters who had been accused by Donald Trump and other Republicans of undercounting Republican voters appear to have underestimated Democratic support in the midterms. The results produced a major Democratic wave, with the party decisively regaining majorities in both the House and Senate.

Pollsters Chris Anderson and Daron Shaw said surveys generally got the direction of the contests right but missed Democrats’ vote share by a few points. Shaw said the scale of the shift in Texas was surprising, while David Paleologos also described a slight undercount of Democrats. He pointed to similar polling misses in the 2025 New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial races, where Democratic candidates won by larger-than-expected margins.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.