# Reform UK’s support collapses in major boost for Burnham, new poll shows

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/reform-uks-support-collapses-in-major-boost-for-burnham-new-poll-shows/
- Published: 2026-10-25T10:30:04+00:00
- Updated: 2026-10-25T11:11:06+00:00
- Original publisher: The Independent (publisher lean: Left)
- Original article: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/reform-uk-farage-support-labour-tories-ipsos-poll-b3072895.html
- Topics: Elections, Politics

## Key points

- Reform falls to 20 per cent, behind the Conservatives on 24 per cent.
- Labour reaches 32 per cent, its highest rating since the 2024 election.
- The poll projects a Labour majority of 134 seats.

## Summary

An Ipsos poll puts Reform UK on 20 per cent, four points behind the Conservatives, whose 24 per cent is their biggest lead over Reform since the 2024 general election. Labour has risen to 32 per cent, its strongest rating since that election, and the figures suggest Andy Burnham’s party could win a large Commons majority.

Electoral Calculus estimates Labour would secure a majority of 134 seats, compared with 167 in July 2024. Ipsos research director Keiran Pedley said the figures reflect a longer shift in support but cautioned against reading too much into one poll, given the volatility of British politics. Reform was polling above 30 per cent a year ago and has faced several controversies and investigations; the poll also puts the Greens on 8 per cent and the Liberal Democrats on 9 per cent.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.