# ‘Simply staggering’: Rapidly developing ‘super El Niño’ on track to peak in December

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/simply-staggering-rapidly-developing-super-el-nino-on-track-to-peak-in-december/
- Published: 2026-11-06T09:12:35+00:00
- Updated: 2026-11-06T09:38:47+00:00
- Original publisher: Carbon Brief
- Original article: https://www.carbonbrief.org/simply-staggering-rapidly-developing-super-el-nino-on-track-to-peak-in-december
- Topics: Climate, Science

## Key points

- El Niño could peak at about 4C above average in December.
- Its strongest global temperature effect is expected in 2027.
- There is a 96% chance 2027 will set a temperature record.

## Summary

El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific are intensifying rapidly and are expected to peak in December, potentially making this one of the strongest such events in at least a millennium. The event releases ocean heat into the atmosphere, temporarily raising global temperatures and influencing weather around the world.

Fourteen climate models project a peak Niño3.4 temperature anomaly of about 4C, more than 1C above the previous record in 2015-16. Its largest effect on global temperatures is expected in 2027: the forecast is about 1.74C above pre-industrial levels, with a 96% chance that 2027 will be the warmest year on record; greenhouse gas emissions remain the main driver of long-term warming.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.