# The 2028 presidential race is already full of surprises, prediction markets say

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/the-2028-presidential-race-is-already-full-of-surprises-prediction-markets-say/
- Published: 2026-11-14T11:50:21+00:00
- Updated: 2026-11-14T12:21:36+00:00
- Original publisher: Fox News (publisher lean: Right)
- Original article: https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2028-presidential-race-already-full-surprises-prediction-markets-say
- Topics: Business, Markets, World

## Key points

- Kalshi’s 2028 markets have drawn nearly $500 million in trades.
- Ossoff leads Democrats; Vance leads Republicans for their nominations.
- Early odds are a snapshot, not a precise election forecast.

## Summary

Prediction markets are already drawing heavy interest in the 2028 US presidential race, with nearly half a billion dollars traded on Kalshi despite the election being two years away. The figures offer an early snapshot of who traders see as potential contenders, but they are not precise forecasts this far ahead.

Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff leads the Democratic nomination market at 26%, while Vice-President JD Vance leads the Republican field at 33%; traders put Vance’s chance of winning the presidency at 12%. Gavin Newsom’s Democratic odds have fallen from 37% to about 12%, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is at 13%. On the Republican side, Marco Rubio is at 18% and Ron DeSantis has risen from below 5% to 17% since the midterms. The article also names several Democrats, including Kamala Harris, as single-digit contenders.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.