# Poll points to heavy Labor defeat in Victorian election forecast

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/the-end-of-dan-istan-newspoll-shows-labor-set-to-be-wiped-out-at-victorian-state-election/
- Published: 2026-10-26T04:27:05+00:00
- Updated: 2026-10-26T04:47:27+00:00
- Original publisher: Daily Mail (publisher lean: Right)
- Original article: https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16237929/labor-poll-victoria-coalition-one-nation.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490
- Topics: Elections, Politics, World

## Key points

- Coalition leads Labor 55 per cent to 45 per cent.
- Labor’s primary vote has fallen to 24 per cent.
- Jess Wilson leads Ben Carroll as preferred premier.

## Summary

A Newspoll suggests Victoria’s Labor government is facing a heavy defeat at the November state election, with the Coalition leading 55 per cent to 45 per cent on a two-party-preferred basis. The result matters because it points to a possible change of government and a sharp decline in support for Labor, despite its recent leadership change.

The poll surveyed 1,017 voters between 15 and 22 October. Labor’s primary vote was 24 per cent, compared with 33 per cent for the Coalition, while One Nation had 20 per cent and the Greens 14 per cent. Opposition Leader Jess Wilson led Premier Ben Carroll as preferred premier by 48 per cent to 34 per cent; the poll’s uniform-swing estimate suggested the Coalition could gain more than 20 seats.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.