# The moment Donald Trump blew the midterms

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/the-moment-donald-trump-blew-the-midterms/
- Published: 2026-11-05T18:30:00+00:00
- Updated: 2026-11-05T19:53:32+00:00
- Original publisher: Vox (publisher lean: Left)
- Original article: https://www.vox.com/politics/509476/midterm-elections-2026-trump-democrats-david-shor-iran
- Topics: Elections, Government, Politics

## Key points

- Democrats scored their largest midterm win in half a century.
- Turnout among young and infrequent voters surged.
- Shor says the Iran war was a major factor in Trump’s defeat.

## Summary

Democrats won their biggest midterm victory in half a century, making major gains in traditionally Republican states and appearing on course for a 13-point popular-vote lead and more than 250 House seats. Democratic data scientist David Shor says the early results point to a major turnout surge, helping explain how the party reversed some of its losses among younger, Latino and less frequent voters.

In Texas and Georgia, Kamala Harris’s 2024 supporters turned out at a rate about nine percentage points higher than Donald Trump’s, compared with a three-point gap in 2018. Youth turnout rose sharply while turnout among voters over 65 fell; Democrats also gained about 11 points in the lowest-turnout precincts. The article identifies the Iran war as a major factor in Trump’s defeat, while noting that vote counts and analysis were still incomplete.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.