# Trump Should Not Get Credit for the Recent Drop in Violent Crime

- URL: https://talkfuse.com/story/trump-should-not-get-credit-for-the-recent-drop-in-violent-crime/
- Published: 2026-11-04T05:01:50+00:00
- Updated: 2026-11-06T05:04:43+00:00
- Original publisher: Reason (publisher lean: Right)
- Original article: https://reason.com/2026/11/04/trump-should-not-get-credit-for-the-recent-drop-in-violent-crime/
- Topics: Government, Politics

## Key points

- Violent crime fell in 2025, continuing a decline that began in 2023.
- Experts did not identify Trump’s highlighted policies as major causes.
- Pandemic recovery was the most widely cited contributor to falling homicides.

## Summary

Crime surveys show that violent crime fell sharply in 2025, continuing a decline that began in 2023. The article argues that the Trump administration’s claims of credit are not supported by evidence, since presidents have limited influence over crime, which is mainly addressed by state and local authorities.

The FBI reported an 18 per cent fall in the homicide rate from 2024 to 2025, while the victimisation rate for non-fatal violent crime, excluding simple assault, fell 25 per cent to 7.4 per 1,000 people aged 12 or over. In a Council on Criminal Justice survey of 48 experts, 57 per cent said easing pandemic-related disruption was a major contributor to the homicide decline; none rated National Guard deployments or presidential public safety signals as major factors. The FBI accounted for about 8 per cent of violent crime arrests in 2025.

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Summarised by TalkFuse (https://talkfuse.com/). Quote the original publisher for the reporting and link this page for the summary and discussion.