The article examines whether Donald Trump, who has presented himself as a president opposed to new wars, may significantly escalate the US conflict with Iran. It matters because a larger attack could deepen an already costly regional war, increase risks to US personnel and shipping, and further test his domestic political support.

Trump was reported to be close to deciding on a “massive” attack after roughly 12 days of intensified US strikes aimed at stopping Iranian attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. The discussion also considers competing pressures for military action and diplomacy, against a backdrop of congressional concern over presidential war powers and public unease about a prolonged conflict.