Labour has regained polling leadership after more than a year, capturing 28 percent support according to a More in Common survey and edging past Reform UK's 24 percent. The shift follows Andy Burnham's appointment as prime minister, with analysts attributing the gain to his first week of high-profile policy announcements on cost-of-living issues. Support for the Greens has declined sharply to 8 percent, whilst the Conservatives remain third at 22 percent.

Burnham assumed office after Keir Starmer's departure following declining confidence from Labour MPs. Current polling would project a general election outcome of 325 seats for Labour—a narrow working majority—alongside 124 Conservative seats and 88 for Reform. Burnham has ruled out an early election and relied heavily on social media engagement rather than traditional press scrutiny. Meanwhile, Reform leader Nigel Farage has faced mounting difficulties, including questions about an undeclared £5 million donation and personal associations, whilst simultaneously confronting a contested by-election in his own constituency against 34 rival candidates.