US intelligence agencies have warned European governments that Russia is planning drone attacks on Spain, France and Italy, with unmanned aircraft launched from merchant ships operating in international waters. The threat targets three NATO countries that provide military support to Ukraine and represents a significant escalation beyond the drone operations already reported in Northern Europe. European leaders, including Emmanuel Macron and Donald Tusk, have reportedly been briefed on the potential threat following CIA Director John Ratcliffe's visit to Moscow.

Russian Gerbera drones could be launched from merchant vessels positioned 125 to 190 miles offshore, with payloads capable of causing fires, damaging infrastructure, or temporarily closing ports and airports. The potential impact is described as both material and political-economic in nature. European intelligence chiefs have warned that Russia may attempt limited attacks on NATO territory within months rather than years, though assessments differ: whilst Czech and Polish security officials view imminent incursion as possible, Latvia's security service notes a lack of indicators suggesting an immediate attack, suggesting Moscow may be seeking to spread fear rather than mounting concrete operations.