Brazil sees record fall in Amazon deforestation as key election looms
Brazil says deforestation in the Amazon and Cerrado has fallen to record lows, making environmental policy a central issue ahead of the presidential run-off between Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flavio Bolsonaro. The figures mark progress towards Lula’s pledge to end deforestation in the Amazon by 2030, while the close race could determine whether current protections continue.
Satellite data shows Amazon deforestation fell 41.8% in the year to July 2026, the largest drop since records began in 1988; the Cerrado saw a 23.8% decline. Lula’s government has strengthened environmental monitoring and penalties for illegal logging after deforestation rose under Jair Bolsonaro, whose presidency saw nearly 60% more Amazon forest loss than in the previous four years. The Amazon is a vital store of biodiversity and absorbs carbon dioxide, but remains under pressure from land clearance, logging and climate change.
- Amazon deforestation fell 41.8% in the year to July 2026.
- The decline is the largest since records began in 1988.
- The presidential run-off could shape Brazil’s forest policies.
Both sides, in good faith
The strongest fair case each way — we don't pick a winner.
The case for
The sharp decline in forest loss suggests that stronger monitoring and penalties can curb illegal clearance, and continuing these measures could protect biodiversity, preserve a major carbon store and help meet Lula’s 2030 pledge. Supporters may argue that environmental protection also serves Brazil’s long-term interests by safeguarding ecosystems and its international standing.
The case against
Voters may reasonably weigh environmental protections against concerns about jobs, farming, development and the cost of enforcement, particularly in regions where land use supports livelihoods. They may favour a different balance or question whether current restrictions are workable over time, while still recognising the value of reducing illegal deforestation.
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