Labour opens eight-point lead as Conservatives move ahead of Reform UK

Labour leads the latest Ipsos poll by eight points, its largest advantage since the 2024 general election. The result suggests the party is consolidating support on the left under Andy Burnham, while the Conservatives have moved ahead of Reform UK amid recent controversies affecting Nigel Farage’s party.

The poll puts Labour on 32 per cent, up five points; the Conservatives on 24 per cent, up three; and Reform UK on 20 per cent, down three. Kemi Badenoch’s satisfaction rating as Conservative leader rose seven points to 35 per cent, her highest in Ipsos polling, while 39 per cent were dissatisfied. The survey of 15 to 22 October also found 66 per cent dissatisfied with the Government, whose net satisfaction score was minus 43; Ipsos cautioned that one poll should not be overinterpreted.