Shabana Mahmood poised to massively cut back immigration crackdown in wake of demands from Labour Left-wing

Daily Mail ·

Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood is expected to announce a substantially softened version of her proposed immigration settlement rules after opposition from Labour figures including Angela Rayner. The change matters because Mahmood had argued that weakening the rules could increase pressure on public services and cost taxpayers £10 billion.

Currently, most migrants can apply for indefinite leave to remain after five years in the UK. Mahmood’s original plan would have set a ten-year baseline, rising to 15 or 20 years for some benefit claimants and up to 25 years for people who entered illegally; senior public sector workers could still qualify after five. Her proposals were intended to affect 1.3 million to 2.2 million people expected to become eligible by 2030, including 463,000 who arrived on care worker visas. The revised approach is due to be set out in a Commons statement on Monday.

In short

  • Mahmood is expected to soften her proposed settlement rules.
  • Labour opposition has challenged longer waits for indefinite leave to remain.
  • Up to 2.2 million people could be affected by 2030.

Steelman: both sides, in good faith

The strongest fair case each way — we don't pick a winner.

The case for

Supporters of a substantial softening could argue that extending settlement waits to 15 or 25 years risks keeping people who have built lives in the UK in prolonged uncertainty, including many care workers. A less restrictive system could recognise their contribution, support integration and avoid imposing especially harsh consequences on people who rely on benefits.

The case against

Those favouring Mahmood’s tougher original rules could argue that settlement is a significant, lasting status and that longer qualifying periods would give people more time to demonstrate sustained contribution and self-sufficiency. They may also see the rules as a way to limit future pressure on public services and taxpayer funds, concerns Mahmood has put at the centre of her case.

Explained simply

Indefinite leave to remain lets someone stay in the UK permanently, without needing to renew a visa. Under current rules, most migrants can apply after five years, though eligibility depends on their circumstances.

Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood proposed longer qualifying periods, with the biggest increases for some people who claim benefits or entered the UK without permission. Labour figures including Angela Rayner have opposed parts of the plan; the debate concerns how settlement rules affect migrants, public services and taxpayer costs.

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