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Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race
Democrats are beginning to prepare for a potentially crowded and unpredictable 2028 presidential primary, with no clear favourite after their strong midterm victories. The results sharpen debate over how the party can win back the White House, including whether it should move towards the centre or the left.
Potential Democratic contenders include Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Andy Beshear, Pete Buttigieg and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez; several have raised their profiles in states that hold early nominating contests. Republicans face the task of choosing a successor to Donald Trump, who cannot seek a third term, while balancing the need to broaden their appeal with the influence of the MAGA movement. JD Vance and Marco Rubio are among the figures discussed as possible candidates.
In short
- Democrats enter 2028 without a clear presidential favourite.
- The party faces a renewed debate over its political direction.
- Republicans must choose a successor while reckoning with Trump’s influence.
Steelman: both sides, in good faith
The strongest fair case each way — we don't pick a winner.
The case for
Democrats should choose a candidate who can build on the party’s midterm gains by appealing to voters beyond its base, including moderates and independents. A more centrist message could make it easier to win competitive states, while a crowded primary gives voters a chance to test candidates’ reach and readiness.
The case against
Democrats should choose a candidate who clearly advances the party’s progressive priorities, since shifting towards the centre could dampen enthusiasm among younger voters and others who want more ambitious change. A competitive primary can surface a candidate with a compelling agenda and strong grassroots support, rather than narrowing the field too early around perceived electability.
Americas Elections Government Politics World