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Poll finds most voters think Trump is hurting Republicans’ midterm chances
A final poll found that many US voters believe Donald Trump is damaging Republicans’ chances in the 2026 midterm elections, despite his months of campaigning for the party. The findings also point to greater enthusiasm among Democrats and expectations that they may gain seats, potentially making it harder for Trump to pass legislation if they win control of Congress.
Among 810 registered voters surveyed, 55 per cent said Trump was hurting Republicans, while 20 per cent said he was helping; 60 per cent of independents saw him as a drag. Forty-eight per cent expected Democrats to gain House seats, compared with 24 per cent who expected Republican gains; for the Senate, the figures were 43 and 26 per cent. The poll surveyed 1,021 US adults from 30 October to 1 November, with a margin of error of 3.5 points among registered voters; the economy and cost of living were voters’ leading concern, cited by 45 per cent.
In short
- Most voters say Trump is hurting Republican midterm chances.
- More voters expect Democrats to gain seats in Congress.
- The economy and cost of living lead voters’ concerns.
Steelman: both sides, in good faith
The strongest fair case each way — we don't pick a winner.
The case for
The poll suggests Trump’s prominent role may be costing Republicans support, especially among independents, while Democrats appear more motivated and voters anticipate Democratic gains. If those perceptions reflect wider opinion, Republicans may have reason to limit his role in their midterm message and focus on voters’ leading concern, the economy and cost of living.
The case against
A poll measures voters’ perceptions at one moment, not how campaigns or election outcomes will ultimately unfold; its margin of error and the views of people not represented in the survey also counsel caution. Trump’s campaigning could still help Republicans by energising his supporters and drawing attention to the party’s priorities, while economic concerns may matter more to voters than judgments about his influence.
Explained simply
US midterm elections take place halfway through a president’s four-year term. Voters choose all members of the House of Representatives and some senators, as well as state and local officials.
Donald Trump is the Republican president, and Republicans are seeking to keep or win seats in Congress. Democrats are the main opposition party; their level of support matters because control of either chamber can affect which laws pass.
The economy and the cost of living are among the issues voters weigh when choosing candidates. A change in control of Congress could make it harder for a president to advance legislation.
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Originally published by Daily Mail as “Americans deliver brutal final verdict on Trump on Election Day as majority blame him for dragging Republicans down”.