Lichtman forecasts Democrats will take both chambers in 2026 midterms
Historian Allan Lichtman predicts Democrats will win control of both chambers of the US Congress in the 2026 midterm elections. The forecast matters because Republicans currently hold narrow majorities, and a Democratic gain would shift control of Congress.
Lichtman gives Democrats more than a 90 per cent chance of taking the House and a 67 per cent chance of winning the Senate, potentially reaching a 51-49 majority. He cites Donald Trump’s low approval ratings, a seven-to-11-point Democratic lead on the generic ballot, stronger Democratic enthusiasm and early voting trends; he also expects possible Senate gains in Maine, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas.
In short
- Lichtman predicts Democrats will take both chambers of Congress.
- He puts their Senate chances at 67 per cent.
- He points to polling, turnout and Trump’s low approval.
Elections Government Politics World
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Originally published by Daily Mail as “America’s most accurate election guru gives final prediction on what will happen in the midterms”.