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IMF warns economic resilience may falter as public debt rises

The Guardian ·

The global economy has proved more resilient than expected despite high oil prices and geopolitical turmoil, with growth supported by strong investment in artificial intelligence and stock markets avoiding a crash. The IMF warns that this resilience has come at a cost and may not last, as governments have spent heavily to shield households from energy prices.

Energy support measures have cost about 0.5% of global GDP, and the IMF is urging governments to keep them temporary and targeted. It also forecasts advanced-economy budget deficits at their highest level since the Covid pandemic, with public debt rising from 108% of GDP last year to 115% in five years; bond yields have also climbed to levels not seen in decades.

  • The global economy has weathered recent shocks better than feared.
  • Energy subsidies have cost about 0.5% of global GDP.
  • Rising public debt leaves governments with less room for future crises.

Business Economy Government Politics

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Originally published by The Guardian as “‘Countries are defying gravity at all income levels’: how long can global economy resist chaos?”.