EU faces 300,000 factory job cuts as China ‘colonises’ supply chains, industry warns

The Guardian ·

The European metals industry body Eurometal has warned that EU manufacturing could lose 300,000 jobs by the end of 2026 unless the European Commission acts to curb what it calls the "colonisation" of European supply chains by Chinese component manufacturers. On Monday, the group plans to stage a protest in Brussels, parading 10 symbolic coffins bearing labels such as "EU competitiveness" and "industrial jobs" around the Commission's headquarters, arguing that policymakers have not grasped how deeply Chinese-made components have embedded themselves in European industry.

Eurometal's president, Alexander Julius, said China's strategy of dominating component supply chains, including metals and chemicals used in roughly 90% of manufacturing, is deliberate government policy, and accused Brussels of failing to tackle the root cause of factory job losses across Europe. China currently runs a record trade surplus with the EU of around €1bn a day, and the wider bilateral trade imbalance stands at some €360bn a year, which trade commissioner Maroš Šefčovič has called unsustainable; the two sides have agreed a three-month truce and talks ending in October to try to avert a trade war. The EU has already imposed tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles and raised steel import tariffs, but Julius argues European firms still face higher costs from carbon taxes and tariffs that Chinese rivals avoid. The Commission's own analysis in June projected over 1 million potential job losses from high energy costs and global competition, including Volkswagen's confirmed cut of 100,000 jobs, while China has accused the EU of protectionism and threatened countermeasures.

In short

  • Eurometal warns of 300,000 EU factory job losses by end of 2026
  • Industry blames China's dominance of component supply chains
  • EU and China in three-month trade talks truce ending October

Steelman: both sides, in good faith

The strongest fair case each way — we don't pick a winner.

The case for

Eurometal’s warning reflects the risk that dependence on Chinese components could leave European factories exposed to supply disruptions and erode the domestic capabilities that support manufacturing jobs. If Chinese suppliers benefit from state backing and face lower energy and carbon costs, EU firms may struggle to compete; supporters argue targeted action could help preserve industrial capacity and fairer competition.

The case against

Trade with China can give European manufacturers access to competitively priced components, helping them control costs and remain viable in global markets. Broad restrictions or new tariffs could raise input prices, invite retaliation and threaten jobs in industries that rely on those imports, while job losses may also stem from energy costs and other pressures that trade measures alone cannot solve.

Explained simply

Eurometal represents European metals businesses, which supply materials used by manufacturers across the EU. Its president, Alexander Julius, says Chinese suppliers have become deeply embedded in these supply chains, while European factories face pressure from energy costs and competition. China is a major trading partner of the EU, the bloc of 27 European countries.

The European Commission, the EU’s executive body, sets trade policy and has introduced tariffs on some Chinese goods, including electric vehicles and steel. EU trade commissioner Maroš Šefčovič has described the trade imbalance with China as unsustainable, and the two sides are holding talks to address tensions. The dispute matters because trade rules and supply costs can affect the future of European factories and the jobs they support.

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