A Fox News poll suggests Texas’s Senate race is more competitive than the state’s recent presidential results might imply. Although Donald Trump won Texas by almost 14 percentage points in 2024, Republican candidate Ken Paxton has not yet consolidated support within his party despite receiving Trump’s endorsement, leaving an opening for Democratic challenger James Talarico.

The poll focuses on divisions among Republican voters and indicates that Paxton’s campaign faces a challenge in turning the state’s broad Republican advantage into unified support. The race matters because Texas is usually reliably Republican at statewide level, so a closer contest would underline the potential electoral cost of internal GOP disputes.