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Itauma v Hrgovic – heavyweight world title fight predictions

BBC Sport ·

Boxing figures overwhelmingly favour Britain’s Moses Itauma to beat Croatia’s Filip Hrgovic for the vacant IBF heavyweight title at London’s O2 Arena, although several warn it will be his toughest professional test. A win would make the unbeaten 21-year-old the youngest heavyweight world champion since Mike Tyson in 1986.

– Most pundits predict an Itauma stoppage, citing his speed, accuracy, movement and heavyweight power. – Predictions range from an early finish within three rounds to a stoppage in the sixth or seventh. – Hrgovic, 34, is viewed as tough, experienced and dangerous, with a 20-1 record and Olympic bronze medal. – Some believe Hrgovic’s durability could test Itauma in the later rounds, while cuts are considered a possible factor.

  • Pundits strongly back Itauma to win.
  • Hrgovic represents Itauma’s biggest test.
  • Victory would create heavyweight history.

Both sides, in good faith

The strongest fair case each way — we don't pick a winner.

The case for

Itauma’s speed, accuracy, movement and power give him a credible edge, and his unbeaten record suggests he can turn those strengths into a stoppage. A victory would also make him the youngest heavyweight world champion since Mike Tyson in 1986, a milestone that reflects the scale of his achievement.

The case against

Hrgovic’s experience, toughness and Olympic pedigree make him a serious test, and his durability could frustrate Itauma if the fight reaches the later rounds. Itauma is still only 21, so this step up in competition may expose vulnerabilities that earlier opponents did not; cuts or a prolonged fight could shift the balance in Hrgovic’s favour.

Sport

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