A More in Common megapoll suggests Labour’s electoral position has improved substantially, while Reform’s recent surge has weakened. The findings have revived speculation about a snap election at Labour’s conference, although Andy Burnham has rejected the idea and said a vote before 2029 is not being considered.

The poll projects Labour winning 250 seats, Reform 147 and the Conservatives 125, leaving Labour short of a majority but potentially able to govern with support from the Liberal Democrats and SNP. Nearly 16,000 adults were surveyed, and the research warns that tactical voting and narrow margins could significantly alter the result; it also concludes that calling an early election would remain a considerable risk for Labour.