Why MPs keep talking about an early election despite Burnham’s denials

Speculation about an early general election has grown after the Budget, despite Prime Minister Andy Burnham repeatedly ruling one out within the next 12 months. Some MPs see the timing of voter-friendly measures and the delay of difficult spending decisions as signs Labour may be preparing for a spring poll, when it is currently leading in most opinion polls.

The Budget included £100 towards energy bills for many households, an extension of VAT cuts on electricity bills and a housing scheme for first-time buyers. The Liberal Democrats put the chance of an election on 10 December at 30%, while Reform UK leader Nigel Farage has suggested May; some Labour MPs have told staff to prepare for a vote in the first half of next year. Opponents of the early-election theory point to Burnham’s denials, a gloomy economic outlook and his plans for a 10-year programme of government.