Why the over 56.5 is the play as Houston visits undefeated Utah in Big 12 action
Houston visits unbeaten Utah in a ranked Big 12 match-up, with the article’s writer backing the total to go over 56.5 points. The pick is based on the teams’ attacking strengths and the expectation that both will test the opposition across the field.
Houston is ranked 14th and has won four straight since a narrow 28-26 loss to Texas Tech. Utah is ranked 10th at 6-0; quarterback Devon Dampier has completed about 69 per cent of his passes for 15 touchdowns and four interceptions, and has added three rushing scores. Houston quarterback Connor Weigman is credited with 20 touchdown passes in seven games.
In short
- The writer picks over 56.5 points.
- Houston is ranked 14th and has won four straight.
- Unbeaten Utah is ranked 10th, led by Devon Dampier.
Steelman: both sides, in good faith
The strongest fair case each way — we don't pick a winner.
The case for
The case for the over is that both teams have shown they can score through the air and on the ground: Utah’s Devon Dampier has 15 passing and three rushing touchdowns, while Houston’s Connor Weigman has thrown 20 touchdowns in seven games. With both offences expected to test the field, sustained drives and scoring chances could push the total above 56.5.
The case against
The case for the under is that a high total depends on both offences converting their opportunities, and Utah’s unbeaten record may reflect an ability to control games as well as score. Houston’s recent run includes a narrow 28-26 loss, showing that a competitive match need not become a high-scoring one; efficient defences, turnovers or stalled drives could keep the combined score below 57.