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Analysis:Japanese savers have rediscovered interest rates and banks are feeling it
Japanese households are increasingly moving savings from bank deposits into government bonds as yields rise, giving the country a more stable source of funding for its public debt while putting pressure on banks’ deposit base. The shift follows the Bank of Japan’s declaration that it had achieved its 2 per cent inflation target after nearly 14 years, marking a break from the era of near-zero rates.
Retail bond sales reached 6 trillion yen between April and October, nearly twice the level a year earlier, with monthly sales topping 1 trillion yen for three consecutive months. Popular bonds yield more than 2 per cent, compared with around 0.5 per cent on one-year bank deposits; households hold about 1.13 quadrillion yen in cash and deposits, but less than 1 per cent of their financial assets in government bonds. Officials are considering new products and tax incentives to attract buyers, while some lawmakers warn that preferential treatment could widen inequality.
In short
- Japanese savers are shifting money into higher-yielding government bonds.
- Retail bond sales nearly doubled to 6 trillion yen.
- Banks worry the trend could drain deposits.