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AP Voter Poll: How key demographic groups voted in the 2026 midterms
An Associated Press survey of about 80,000 voters suggests Republicans lost support among young and Hispanic voters in the 2026 midterms compared with Donald Trump’s 2024 presidential coalition. The findings also point to widespread dissatisfaction with Trump and a desire for Congress to play a stronger role in checking the presidency.
About seven in ten voters under 30 backed the Democratic candidate in their House race, while roughly three in ten supported the Republican; young voters were about evenly split between Trump and Kamala Harris in 2024. Hispanic voters were about six in ten for Democrats and one-third for Republicans, compared with roughly four in ten who backed Trump in 2024. Around four in ten voters said they voted to oppose Trump, while about six in ten disapproved of his handling of the presidency.
In short
- Young voters strongly favoured House Democrats.
- Hispanic support for Republicans fell from 2024.
- Many voters said their ballot opposed Trump.
Explained simply
In the United States, midterm elections take place halfway through a president’s four-year term. Voters choose all members of the House of Representatives and some senators, as well as state and local officials; the results can affect which party controls Congress and how it works with the president.
The Associated Press is a news organisation that conducts voter surveys to examine who supported each party and why. Its poll draws on responses from a large number of voters, including groups such as younger and Hispanic voters, and compares their reported choices with patterns in the previous presidential election.
Congress makes federal laws and can investigate the president and oversee the government. Voters’ views of the president and their expectations of Congress therefore help explain the political climate in which the newly elected representatives will serve.