Politics news and discussion on TalkFuse.
‘You’ve gone massively backwards!’ Danny Kruger clashes with Camilla Tominey on slump in Reform polling
Reform UK MP Danny Kruger acknowledged that the party’s polling position has fallen, after presenter Camilla Tominey challenged him over the decline. The exchange matters because Reform had previously been polling in the mid-30s, while the figures cited in the interview put it level with the Conservatives and behind Labour.
Tominey cited a poll of polls showing Labour on 28 per cent, the Conservatives on 21 per cent and Reform on 21 per cent, compared with Reform’s earlier 34 to 35 per cent. Kruger said he wished Reform were still on 30 per cent but described its earlier support as “artificially inflated”, attributing the change to Labour replacing its leader and regaining support, and the Conservatives beginning to recover.
In short
- Kruger accepted that Reform’s polling has fallen.
- Reform and the Conservatives were both on 21 per cent.
- Kruger linked the shift to changes in Labour and Conservative fortunes.
Steelman: both sides, in good faith
The strongest fair case each way — we don't pick a winner.
The case for
Kruger’s case is that Reform’s earlier polling high was an unreliable measure of lasting support, perhaps boosted by dissatisfaction with the previous Labour leadership and Conservative weakness. Labour’s change of leader and signs of Conservative recovery could naturally shift voter intentions, so the current figures may offer a more realistic picture of the contest.
The case against
Tominey’s challenge is that a fall from 34–35 per cent to 21 per cent is a substantial loss of support, whatever the earlier figure’s causes. For a party that had presented itself as a leading electoral force, the decline raises a fair question about whether its appeal is weakening and whether blaming an inflated starting point understates that change.