Reform UK drop to lowest support since January last year as Labour enjoy five-point poll lead – with Tories closest challengers
Reform UK’s support has fallen to 20 per cent, its lowest in YouGov’s voting intention tracker since it restarted in January 2025. Labour leads the Conservatives by five points, as Reform leader Nigel Farage says his party needs to re-energise voters after a difficult summer.
Labour is on 27 per cent, unchanged from the previous week, while the Conservatives are on 22 per cent, down one point. The Liberal Democrats and Greens remain on 11 and 10 per cent respectively, and Restore Britain rises one point to 4 per cent. Farage said controversies had coincided with Reform’s decline and suggested an election campaign focused on Europe and immigration could bring voters back.
In short
- Reform falls two points to 20 per cent.
- Labour leads the Conservatives by five points.
- Farage says Reform needs to re-energise voters.
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The case for
The poll may indicate that voters are responding to recent controversies and want a change in direction, giving Labour a stronger position and the Conservatives a chance to regain support. Reform’s own leader has acknowledged the need to re-energise voters; a campaign focused on Europe and immigration could help the party reconnect with people who prioritise those issues.
The case against
A single week’s movement in voting intentions is not proof of a lasting shift, and Reform remains on 20 per cent, close to the Conservatives’ 22 per cent. Supporters may see the summer’s controversies as temporary distractions and argue that a focused campaign on Europe and immigration could restore momentum, while Labour’s unchanged 27 per cent does not by itself establish durable backing.
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